Inflation: how it eats your savings and how to protect them
What UAH 100,000 will buy in 5 and 10 years, how the real return differs from the rate in the contract and what actually protects you from inflation.
What makes a currency exchange good or bad is not the “rate” in the ad but the gap between the buying and selling rates, the spread. Buy 1,000 dollars and sell them straight back at a 60-kopeck spread and you lose UAH 600; at a UAH 1.20 spread, UAH 1,200. The NBU official rate is only a reference for accounting: banks and exchange offices in Ukraine set their own rates, so compare the rate you actually exchange at and all the fees.
The National Bank of Ukraine sets the official hryvnia exchange rate every day. For the dollar, it is the volume-weighted average rate of interbank trades of 100 thousand to 5 million dollars. The NBU regulation states plainly what this rate is for: recording foreign currency operations in accounting and giving market participants a quick reference.
The key point for anyone buying currency: nobody is obliged to use the official rate. Banks and exchange offices set their own rates, and they always differ from the official one: they buy currency for less and sell it for more.
An exchange office board always shows two numbers. They are written from the exchange office's point of view, and this is where people most often get confused:
The spread depends on where you exchange, the currency, the amount and market conditions. The wider the spread, the more every exchange costs you.
One trip “into dollars and back” at a 1.31% spread looks minor. But if you exchange the same money there and back four times a year, trying to catch the “right moment”, you lose 5.13% of the amount. At a 2.60% spread, four such round trips take 9.99%. That is comparable to a year of after-tax deposit income: a deposit at 13% a year brings 10.01% after 23% tax.
| Method | Pros | What to watch |
|---|---|---|
| In your banking app (to a currency account) | fast, rate visible in advance, spread often the narrowest | the currency is non-cash: withdrawing it as cash may cost a fee |
| At a bank branch | reliable, you get a receipt | the rate is often worse than in the same bank's app |
| At an exchange office | many locations, longer hours | spreads vary; the rate on the board may apply only to large amounts |
| Privately, in chats or on the street | none | counterfeit notes, fraud, no protection at all |
Before exchanging, check three things: the rate for your exact amount, whether there is a separate fee, and whether you will get a receipt. A rate “from 1,000 dollars” on the board won't help if you are exchanging 200.
It is impossible to guess the best day to buy currency, so buying equal amounts regularly is more reliable. That way your average rate evens out on its own.
When you pay with a hryvnia card in another currency, the money is converted, and there is a spread here too. A few rules:
Foreign currency protects you from a devaluation of the hryvnia, but not from inflation: dollars and euros also lose value, just more slowly. How to calculate the real return is explained in our article on inflation, and the inflation calculator shows how much your amount will lose over a few years.
Cash dollars at home earn nothing. If you keep part of your savings in currency, consider currency deposits and currency government bonds (OVDP): bonds often pay more than deposits, and bond income is not taxed for individuals. The comparison is in “Deposit or government bonds”.
The rates in the examples are illustrative and only show how the calculation works. Check current rates and fees with your bank. This article is not financial advice and does not encourage buying or selling currency.