Compound interest: how money multiplies and why time beats amount
The formula in plain words, the rule of 72 and calculations that show why ten years of head start matter more than the size of your deposit.
Most experienced traders risk no more than 1-2% of their account on a single trade. That means if the stop loss is hit, you lose only that share, not half the account. Position size is calculated from the risk and the distance to the stop loss, not from how much leverage allows. That way a losing streak does not wipe out the account, and you stay in the game long enough for a strategy to work.
Even the best strategy has losing streaks. If you risk a large share of the account on every trade, five or six losing trades in a row, which is perfectly normal, wipe out the account before the strategy has a chance to show its edge.
Risk management answers one question: how much money will I lose if I am wrong on this trade? You need the answer before you enter the position, not after.
The rule: the maximum loss on one trade does not exceed 1-2% of the current account balance. Beginners and anyone testing a new strategy are better off staying closer to 1%, or even below.
Look at what happens to an account after 10 losing trades in a row at different levels of risk.
| Risk per trade | Account left | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|
| 1% | 90.4% | −9.6% |
| 2% | 81.7% | −18.3% |
| 5% | 59.9% | −40.1% |
| 10% | 34.9% | −65.1% |
At 1% risk, ten losses in a row are unpleasant but not frightening. At 10%, a third of the account is left, and as you will see below, recovering from a hole like that is almost impossible.
Position size is not “as much as I don't mind losing” or “as much as leverage allows”. It follows from three numbers: account size, risk percentage and distance to the stop loss.
Another example: account $5,000, risk 2% = $100, stop 40 pips. Volume = 100 / (40 × 10) = 0.25 lots. Note that the wider the stop, the smaller the position. The risk in money stays the same.
Losses and gains are not symmetrical. If the account drops by 50%, getting back to the starting level takes a 100% gain, not 50%: turning $500 back into $1,000.
| Drawdown | Gain needed to recover |
|---|---|
| −10% | +11.1% |
| −20% | +25% |
| −30% | +42.9% |
| −40% | +66.7% |
| −50% | +100% |
| −75% | +300% |
The formula is simple: gain needed = 1 / (1 − drawdown) − 1. After −10%, recovery is relatively easy. After −50% you have to double the account, which even professionals rarely manage. So the main task of risk management is to avoid a deep drawdown, not to win it back afterwards. It is the same compound interest, working in reverse.
The risk/reward ratio (R:R) compares the possible loss with the planned profit. If the stop is 25 pips and the target is 50, the ratio is 1:2: you risk $10 to make $20.
This ratio determines what share of trades must be profitable just to break even (before spreads and commissions).
| Risk : reward | Break-even win rate |
|---|---|
| 1 : 1 | 50% |
| 1 : 2 | 33.3% |
| 1 : 3 | 25% |
A higher ratio is not always better, though: a distant target is reached less often. What matters is the balance between R:R and the real win rate of your strategy, tested on historical data and on a demo account.
A stop loss is an order placed in advance to close the trade if the price moves against you to a set level. It records your mistake automatically, without emotion.
The 1-2% rule applies to one trade. But several open positions in related instruments (for example, EUR/USD and GBP/USD) often move together, and the real risk adds up. It also helps to set a daily or weekly loss limit, say 3-5%, after which you stop trading until the next period. This protects you from the most expensive mistake: trying to win it back on emotion.
Risk management works only when you know the real numbers of your trading, not your impression of it. For that you need a trading journal: date, instrument, reason for entry, volume, stop loss, target, result in money and as a percentage of the account. After 30-50 trades the journal shows your actual win rate, the average ratio of profit to loss and the longest losing streak. Those numbers, not the promises of a strategy, should decide how much you risk.
Test a new strategy on a demo account or with the minimum volume first. A demo doesn't reproduce the emotions of real money, but it lets you check whether you understand your entry and exit rules and calculate volume without mistakes. Move to a live account after you have followed your risk rules for several weeks in a row.
Also check who you are dealing with. Platforms that promise guaranteed income, a “personal analyst” who keeps pushing you to top up, or deposit bonuses are classic signs of risky intermediaries. In Ukraine, the securities regulator NSSMC publishes information about licensed market participants.
This article is educational and is not investment advice or a call to trade. Trading forex, CFDs and other leveraged instruments carries a high risk of losing money.